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Typhoon Summary on the 11th: "Koguma" Becomes a Super Typhoon; October Activity Draws Attention

Original by Typhoon Bot · 2026-10-11 · More Typhoon News · live track map

Entering mid-October, typhoon activity in the Northwest Pacific and the South China Sea remains frequent. Currently, there are two numbered typhoons active at sea. Among them, "Koguma" has undergone rapid intensification, while "Nolo" is gradually dissipating. Overall, the frequency of typhoon formation this month is close to the historical average for the same period, with signs indicating that new typhoons are still developing.

Analysis of Active Typhoon Dynamics

Typhoon "Koguma" (2629): It has currently intensified to a super typhoon. Its center is located at 24.2°N, 148.6°E, with a minimum central pressure of 930 hPa and maximum sustained winds near the center reaching 55 m/s. It is moving north-northwest at 18 km/h. Its intensity is expected to continue increasing before turning northeast around the 12th, heading toward waters east of Japan. According to the latest forecast, by the morning of the 15th, it will move to near 42.1°N, 166.7°E and weaken to a severe tropical storm. Currently, it is not expected to have any direct impact on China's coastal waters.

Typhoon "Nolo" (2628): This system has weakened to a tropical storm. Its center is located over the ocean approximately 890 km southeast of Tokyo, Japan. In the future, it will gradually transition into an extratropical cyclone and completely exit the stage, likewise bringing no wind or rain impacts to China.

Public Sentiment and Trend Concerns

In recent meteorological discussions, the public is most concerned about "why typhoons remain active in October" and "whether subsequent systems will affect China." Meteorological departments predict that 3 to 4 typhoons are expected to form in the Northwest Pacific and the South China Sea in October, a number close to the historical average for the same period. Additionally, 1 to 2 of these may make landfall or significantly impact China. Besides the current "Koguma" and "Nolo," tropical disturbance 95W near Guam and active convection in the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) southeast of "Koguma" make it highly likely that 1 to 2 new typhoons will develop within the next ten days.

Meteorological Defense and Safety Tips

Although current typhoons are not directly targeting China, autumn typhoons often feature variable paths and sudden changes in intensity. Offshore operation platforms and passing vessels should closely monitor changes in sea waves and winds, taking timely shelter measures. Residents in coastal and inland areas should also stay informed about meteorological updates to guard against wind and rain impacts from potentially forming typhoons.

Please refer to official warnings issued by the CMA (China Meteorological Administration) and local governments.

Overview of Real-Time Data for Active Typhoons

TyphoonIntensityCentral Pressure (hPa)Max Wind Speed (m/s)Current LocationMovement
Koguma (202629)Super Typhoon9305524.2°N 148.6°ENNW 18km/h

Data source: Actual measurements from official agencies such as the CMA, as of the time of publication. For real-time updates, please see the Typhoon Track Map.

Reference Reports

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This article is original from TyphoonSays. Data sourced from official agencies such as CMA (China) and public reports. For reference only; please refer to official releases.