Typhoon Carmen Route Analysis
Track Movement and Recurvature Characteristics
1983年第7号Typhoon “Carmen”的生命周期始 at S海E部海域, 整体路径呈现显著的NE toward MovingTrend. formed初期 (8月10日20时至12日14时) , 系统中心位 at lat 15.1°至17.7°N, 115.2°至116.8°之间, Moving速度相对缓慢, 主要维持N至NNE direction的漂移. 在此期间, 经纬度变化幅度较小, 表明引导气流较弱或处 at 鞍型场中.
Since August 13, the Typhoon Moving direction has seen a significant shift, moving from the previous NMoving to the stable NE direction.Especially during the early morning of August 14 to the morning of August 15, the length range has increased significantly, moving rapidly from lng 120.3° to 128.3°, the latitude has also synchronized N raised to 21°N. This accelerated NE shift is typically associated with the sub-tropical high-pressure backline N raise or W windship pre-SW air flow guidance.
Intensity evolution and historical comparison
The initial stage is Tropical Depression, Pressureins at 1000-1002hPa, max wind is stable at 12m/s. Until August 14, 08 am, with the system toward EMovingGo to broader waters, its Intensity first reaches Tropical Storm intensity with max winds of increase to 20m/s, minimum pressure drops to 996hPa.
Historical records show that in 1986, 1978 and 1974 'Carmen' both reached the level of Typhoon or above, of which 1986 developed into Super Typhoon; even the relative weakness of the intensity of the 1971 'Carmen', also reached the level of Severe Tropical Storm.
Route of Typhoon Carmen
| Time | Position | Intensity | Wind · Pressure | Moving Toward |
|---|
| 08-10 20:00 | 15.1°N
115.4°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1002 hPa | - |
| 08-11 02:00 | 15.4°N
115.3°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1002 hPa | NNW |
| 08-11 08:00 | 15.7°N
115.2°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | NNW |
| 08-11 14:00 | 16.2°N
115.3°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | N |
| 08-11 20:00 | 16.6°N
115.6°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | NE |
| 08-12 02:00 | 17°N
116°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | NE |
| 08-12 08:00 | 17.3°N
116.3°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | NE |
| 08-12 14:00 | 17.7°N
116.8°E | Tropical Depression | 12 m/s
1000 hPa | NE |
| 08-12 20:00 | 18°N
116.8°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1000 hPa | N |
| 08-13 02:00 | 18.3°N
116.9°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1002 hPa | NNE |
| 08-13 08:00 | 18.7°N
117.2°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1002 hPa | NE |
| 08-13 14:00 | 19°N
117.8°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1002 hPa | ENE |
| 08-13 20:00 | 19.3°N
119°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
1000 hPa | ENE |
| 08-14 02:00 | 19.6°N
120.3°E | Tropical Depression | 15 m/s
998 hPa | ENE |
| 08-14 08:00 | 19.8°N
121.5°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
996 hPa | E |
| 08-14 14:00 | 19.8°N
122.9°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
994 hPa | E |
| 08-14 20:00 | 19.9°N
124.2°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
992 hPa | E |
| 08-15 02:00 | 20.2°N
126.2°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
992 hPa | E |
| 08-15 08:00 | 21°N
128.3°E | Tropical Storm | 20 m/s
995 hPa | ENE |
FAQ
Typhoon Carmen is the 1983 Typhoon.
Typhoon Carmen's international code is 198307, is the 1983 Typehoon number 7, international name CARMEN.
What is the highest level of Typhoon Carmen?
Typhoon Carmen peak intensity is Tropical Storm, max wind 20m/s, minimum central pressure 992 hPa.
Typhoon Carmen Landfall.
According to records, Typhoon Carmen is not in our coastal landfall.
Where can I view typhoon Carmen's live track map?
TyphoonSays (taifengshuo.com) provides typhoon Carmen's Track history map, multinational meteorological agency Forecast comparison, windshield range with IntensityTrend, page address: https://taifengshuo.com/typhoon/198307.
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